Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets 13/03/25

By: Matt Abrahams
12/03/2025
Best Bets for Today
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Best Bets of the Day

Check out the free racing tips and best bets for Thursday's racing at Pakenham and Randwick-Kensington. Proved has caught my eye in Race 5 at Pakenham. Meanwhile, my roughie of the day is Extreme Diva at Randwick-Kensington in Race 4. The track at Pakenham is in great shape for racing, sitting at a good 4 rating. With a track rating of soft 7 at Randwick-Kensington, punters should consider horses that handle give in the ground well. Let's get into it!

Best Tip: Proved #4 Pakenham R5

I like the chances of Proved to have one of the strongest chances on the card. With three straight placings (3 wins), Proved continues to show its reliability and skill. Proved lined up at Sale, finishing 1st over 1010m. Backed at $1.30, jumped from barrier 3, and carried 59kg under Emily Pozman. A good draw too, gets to run from the 2 Barrier. Under the watchful eye of E Jusufovic, Proved has shown a lot of promise leading up to this race. Unbeaten at this trip - knows exactly how to get the job done over 1200m. Solid record over this distance, winning 2 times from 2 runs. Perfect career record, can it stay that way? Handles good ground well, boasting 3 wins from 3 runs.

BookmakerOdds
$2.15
$2.15
QuestBet  logo$2.15

Best Roughie: Extreme Diva #6 Randwick-Kensington R4

I like the potential of Extreme Diva to possibly get the win or run a place. Struggled to make the top four last start, but showed glimpses of ability. Soft track debut, but no reason to doubt. A good draw that should allow her to find cover and conserve energy early. Tom Sherry has the skills and race intelligence to make a big impact on Thursday. Looking forward to their performance. Extreme Diva presents from the prestigious John O'Shea & Tom Charlton Stable. Still searching for a breakthrough at 1100m - today might be the day.

BookmakerOdds
$7.00
$7.00
QuestBet  logo$7.00

Stats and Insights

  • Pakenham is one of the smallest tracks in the country, with only 1400m circumference and as such suited to front-runners and those horses with the ability to race handy to the pace. 1400m - 1600m at Pakenham winners predominantly emerge from barriers 5-8 which suggests those horses who either fire straight onto the speed or those that sit just behind the speed have the greatest chances. The 1 and 9 barriers have both won 13.2% of races since 2017 at the Randwick Kensington track.
  • R5 Pakenham - Proved has shown remarkable consistency, achieving a win percentage of 100% and a place percentage of 100%. In races on good tracks, Proved has achieved a career record of 3-0-0.
  • R4 Randwick-Kensington - Extreme Diva is looking for her first victory. During her racing career, Extreme Diva holds a 44.44% place percentage.

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On the weekend, legendary trainer Chris Waller demonstrated his expert track record for a second time by winning the Flemington-based Newmarket Handicap for a second occasion. Ten days before the Group 1 Newmarket Handicap (1200m), Waller relocated Joliestar from Sydney to his stable in Melbourne - it paid off big time.

In Randwick, Linebacker sprung a massive upset by beating top colt Broadsiding in the Randwick Guineas. The victory was the first for co-trainer Tom Charlton in Group 1 races, well done Tommy!

Punters need to get ready because Coolmore Classic will deliver another Group 1 event on Saturday. Competing fillies and mares will fight for an attractive prize money distribution at this top-tier race. Check back for horse racing tips leading up to the race day.

This week I think that QuestBet offers the best betting experience for racing promotions and odds. This bookie presents a distinctive Samurai Theme that showcases Japanese samurai heritage. Seamless betting occurs because the site features a simplified navigation system that eliminates distracting elements from the betting experience. Those who seek a basic yet uncomplicated betting site should appreciate QuestBet because the site has placed a focus on simplicity.

Hi, I'm Matt and I've been writing about sports and racing since 2016. Over the years, I've provided betting tips for some of the top companies such as Sportsbet, William Hill, PlayUp and many more. This includes a wide range of different sports such as AFL, NRL, NBA, NFL, BBL, MLB and Horse Racing. I'm currently involved in horse racing shares with Viva Racing and I work with thoroughbredsales.com.au - a leading racehorse website directory in Australia. My betting strategy generally looks at trends and following the best jockeys in the country. Outside of writing, you can find me playing social Cricket and Tennis or watching sports. Can't wait to nail those winning picks!