Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets 28/03/24

Racing comes back to Pakenham racecourse and the Hawkesbury racecourse this Thursday as our bigger races kick on for the week and I am very keen on these midweek cards that are set tomorrow with some big debutants for the top stables in NSW and VIC stepping out. I have run through the cards that are set for the two aforementioned racecourses and as usual picked out a best bet and best outside chance of the day and in the final part of the article you should find some helpful track insights for both the racecourses which should assist your horse racing betting. Follow me below for another great day of racing this Thursday!

Best Tip: Pakenham - R1 - #11 - Alma Rise

Pakenham racing kicks off with a solid race tomorrow and I think despite their being some high level maiden’s stepping out tomorrow that Peter Moody’s Alma Rise rates the highest in this field. He stepped out at Sandown Hillside at the beginning of the month when making his debut to racing over the 1500m and doing heaps of work out wide to power home from four deep and only just miss the win. That was an effort that saw him clock some very good late splits and he now steps out to 2000m with Kah aboard, he should be extremely tough to beat.

Bookmaker	Odds
	$1.70
	$1.70
	BEST OF THREE TOTES

*The Best Tote bet type pays bettors the highest dividend declared by the three national totes. The VIC TAB, NSW TAB and UBet. This likely means that there aren't fixed odds available at the time of writing this on that bookmaker and there likely will be.

Best Roughie: Hawkesbury - R4 - #4 - Jump In The Line

I think that Jump In The Line can make sharp improvements off the back of his debut to racing where he stepped out here over the 1100m and chased hard along the fence when doing plenty on debut to finish fourth after setting near last in the field. That race has already has two subsequent winners and is shaping up to be a great form reference and he now rates fitter and gets in light with the claim from Wadick. Go well.

Bookmaker	Odds
	$7.50
	$7.50
	BEST OF THREE TOTES

Stats and Insights

Hawkesbury Racecourse is known to have a very real “home track advantage” and pro punters have affirmed that there are certain runners that irrespective of their form at other tracks, if they perform historically at Hawkesbury then that form is likely genuine.

Circumference and as such suited to front-runners and those horses with the ability to race handy to the pace

Often, at 1400m - 1600m at Pakenham winners predominantly emerge from barriers 5-8 which suggests those horses who either fire straight onto the speed or those that sit just behind the speed have the greatest chances.

Best Racing Promotions

Promotions have historically been a great way for bettors to gain an advantage over betting sites by providing an edge to your bet. For racing specifically these promotions can be extensive in providing you some form of ‘outs’ to your bet that you wouldn’t normally receive.

Palmerbet, in recent weeks, has stood out to me across the Aussie betting sites that offer racing promotions and is one that I would take a look at, especially for big race days that feature Group 1 races and Saturday’s in general.

On our site we have a Palmerbet Review that goes in depth into the bookmaker as well as a Vicbet and Punterspal Review amongst some of the other top bookmakers that frequently have promotions.

Promotions tend to change regularly, so it is important to sign up to these betting sites to stay updated on the latest applicable promotions.

I am an avid horse racing enthusiast and punter. Growing up in Randwick, I have been surrounded by racing through stories from the elderly’s past endeavours to the racecourse and owners that are friends of the family. I am also a data-scientist and am fascinated and intrigued by the algorithmic approach to form. I’ve has become more involved with racing over the past few years due to simultaneously delving deeper into the sport and learning how to apply a data driven approach to punting. Beyond Racing, I am an avid NRL fan and MMA fan, the latter of which I have largely applied the same philosophy of methodical, data driven punting towards and found solid success in the MMA space and I continue to track and improve my strategies.

All Articles by Kai Shmukler